NBA props for Tuesday 4/16: We like some treys from Trey

Tonight we have the first of a few nights of NBA play-in action. I am not sure I like the concept overall, but there is nothing better than a single-game elimination for real drama. When there is no tomorrow, the concept of load management is out the window, too.

This evening we have the Lakers at the Pelicans and Golden State at Sacramento, so there is more than enough star power to go around too. When it comes to the playoffs you really want to find those props that match the game scripts you think most are most likely. Sure, player props can cash regardless of which side wins and loses, but you want to lean into your theses. 

NBA Props for Tuesday, April 16

Anthony Davis Over 25.5 Points (+102)
Lakers vs. Pelicans, 7:30 p.m. ET

The Pelicans may be hosting tonight, but I like the Lakers to win. I don't see the home environment offering an advantage and with AD and LeBron, they are not going to be off their game because of it. These teams closed the season against each other with Davis scoring 30 points. In other games against New Orleans, he was not as productive this season, but the matchup vs. Jonas Valanciunas has proven to be a favorable one. Only once in the last two seasons has he been under 20 points, which is a nice floor. 

D'Angelo Russell More Assists than Zion Williamson (+114)
Lakers vs. Pelicans, 7:30 p.m. ET

I was surprised that Williamson was the favorite for this one given he averaged an assist fewer per game during the regular season. Russell has been so much better for L.A. over the last couple of months too and is not going to be shy about this game. This is going to be Williamson's first NBA playoff game and I think it might show. The Lakers have a lot of athletic bigs that are going to make it very tough for him tonight.